How much weight am I likely to lose and KEEP OFF?

I'm considering surgery but will be paying for it myself and want to have a reasonable sense that it will be worth doing. I'll almost certainly go with the adjustable gastric band. I'm 5'7" and weigh 230 (BMI 36) with co-morbidities. I weighed 130 in high school and am now 56. I'd be thrilled to get down to 150, a little disappointed if I only got to 170. I've had experience in the past with weight regain after losing a lot through dieting, and am terrified I could go through all this and end up a few years later not much better off.

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