Samantha --
Have you checked out the post-op weight loss planner on this site? It is really neat. The link is: http://www.obesityhelp.com/morbidobesity/information/post+op+planner.php
You put in your height, weight, and % of weight that you expect to lose and it will give you a month-by-month estimate of weight loss.
For example, when I entered in my info, height: 5'4", weight: 310, percentage 75% (average is 65), it said I would lose 26 pounds in month 1, 27 pounds in month 2, 13 pounds in month 3, 7 pounds in month 4, etc. It is a nice description of the slope of weight loss and could be a good predictor.
So far, I am two weeks out of surgery and have lost 20 pounds, so we'll have to wait and see if I stick to the chart or exceed it.
Hope this helps!