How can I determine realistic "goal" weight?
I totally agree with what ATL Gadget Grrl said.
I set a "rough" estimate of normal BMI to begin with. When I got within 20 lbs of that I had a bod-pod body fat % done, and then set my final goal weight based on that... i now have some sort of BF % done every 3-4 months. I work out a lot, so I'm at the top end of BMI or even over into "overweight" but my BF % is low - between 11-15% - which is definitely better than "normal."
BMI is pretty bogus as your fitness level has a lot to do with where you fit in the ranges. Weightlifters who have 6% body fat are often classified as obese according to BMI measures...
Our motto should be - we want to lose fat, not weight... the only real way to measure that is Body fat.
There are 3 good ways to do that - Hydrostatic weighing, DEXA Scan, and Bod Pod. They all have plusses and minuses.
Tom
Heaviest: 313/VSG Pre: 295/Surgery: 260/Maintenance target:190 - Recent: 195 (08/15/19)
1st 2015&2016 12-Hour Time Trial UMCA 50-59 Age Group
1st 2017 Race Across the West 4-Person 50-59 Age Group
4th 2019 Race Across America 8 Person Team